Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Song Yadong won · U-DEC R5
Elo1518
Song Yadong
Elo1508

Song YadongvsChris GutierrezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Saturday, December 9, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Yadong: Pressure fightervsChris Gutierrez: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Song Yadong wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Yadong at -355 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong
Red Corner
VS
Chris Gutierrez
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
1518
Elo
1508
28
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong
oldest →
W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Apr 23
L
vs Petr Yan · Mar 24
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26
W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26
latest
Chris Gutierrez
oldest →
L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Apr 23
W
vs Alatengheili · Oct 23
W
vs Quang Le · Aug 24
W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25
L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricChris Gutierrez
4.42
Strikes / min
4.40
3.94
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
55%
Strike defense
63%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
0.30
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+1.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1602 vs 1587Strikes4.5 vs 4.7Takedowns0.7 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.10Form0.6 vs 0.5
Song YadongChris Gutierrez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Song Yadong(10 fights)Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +10.1|Blue -10.1
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetChris Gutierrez

By target zone

35
35% acc · 45%
Head
8
21% acc · 9%
12
60% acc · 16%
Body
3
20% acc · 3%
30
67% acc · 39%
Leg
76
84% acc · 87%

By position

49
39% acc · 64%
Distance
87
60% acc · 100%
4
67% acc · 5%
Clinch
0
24
75% acc · 31%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Song Yadong rounds
0
even
3
Chris Gutierrez rounds
Round 1Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:52
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:13
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control4:15
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control4:41
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
77 / 165
Sig Strikes
87 / 145
48.2%
Sig Str %
69.8%
160 / 283
Total Strikes
105 / 165
2 / 3
TDs
0 / 2
75%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
11:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Gutierrez29 / 4929 / 490 / 00
1Song Yadong17 / 3417 / 340 / 00
2Chris Gutierrez25 / 3727 / 390 / 00
2Song Yadong14 / 3322 / 461 / 10
3Chris Gutierrez24 / 4724 / 470 / 00
3Song Yadong17 / 4717 / 481 / 20
4Song Yadong12 / 2551 / 820 / 00
4Chris Gutierrez8 / 1117 / 200 / 10
5Chris Gutierrez1 / 18 / 100 / 10
5Song Yadong17 / 2653 / 730 / 00

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14