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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Song Yadong won · SUB R1
Elo1518
Song Yadong
Elo1491

Song YadongvsBharat KandareUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Saturday, November 25, 2017Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:16

Model Prediction: Bharat Kandare wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bharat Kandare at +140 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bharat Kandare has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Song Yadong has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Bharat Kandare has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong
Red Corner
VS
Bharat Kandare
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1518
Elo
1491
28
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong
oldest →
W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23
L
vs Petr Yan · Mar 24
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26
W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26
latest
Bharat KandareNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricBharat Kandare
4.42
Strikes / min
0.70
3.94
Strikes absorbed / min
1.88
55%
Strike defense
72%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.18
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Song Yadong(10 fights)Bharat Kandare(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +26.8|Blue -26.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetBharat Kandare

By target zone

6
26% acc · 75%
Head
1
5% acc · 33%
1
33% acc · 13%
Body
0
1
33% acc · 13%
Leg
2
25% acc · 67%

By position

7
26% acc · 88%
Distance
3
10% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
50% acc · 13%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Song Yadong rounds
0
even
0
Bharat Kandare rounds
Round 1Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
8 / 29
Sig Strikes
3 / 30
27%
Sig Str %
10%
9 / 30
Total Strikes
3 / 30
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bharat Kandare3 / 303 / 300 / 10
1Song Yadong8 / 299 / 300 / 01

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17

Bharat Kandare

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1