Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Song Kenan won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1466
Rolando Bedoya

Song KenanvsRolando BedoyaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Song Kenan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsRolando Bedoya: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rolando Bedoya wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Song Kenan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rolando Bedoya at -360 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rolando Bedoya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan
Red Corner
VS
Rolando Bedoya
Blue Corner
+285
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
1497
Elo
1466
36
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan
oldest →
L
KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23
L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23
W
vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24
latest
Rolando BedoyaL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Khaos Williams · May 23
L
vs Jai Herbert · Aug 24
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricRolando Bedoya
4.49
Strikes / min
6.23
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
5.50
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.33Δ 2.06 — meaningful gap+0.73

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1507 vs 1483Strikes4.6 vs 7.3Takedowns0.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.9 vs -1.0
Song KenanRolando Bedoya

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Song Kenan(10 fights)Rolando Bedoya(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +30.7|Blue -30.7
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetRolando Bedoya

By target zone

54
46% acc · 72%
Head
36
25% acc · 32%
16
67% acc · 21%
Body
27
55% acc · 24%
5
71% acc · 7%
Leg
49
78% acc · 44%

By position

68
49% acc · 91%
Distance
104
42% acc · 93%
6
75% acc · 8%
Clinch
8
62% acc · 7%
1
100% acc · 1%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Song Kenan rounds
0
even
2
Rolando Bedoya rounds
Round 1Rolando Bedoya edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Rolando Bedoya edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:23
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Song Kenan edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:17
Knockdowns1
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
75 / 149
Sig Strikes
112 / 258
49.3%
Sig Str %
42.7%
85 / 161
Total Strikes
112 / 260
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 4
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:40
Ctrl Time
0:33

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Rolando Bedoya32 / 7732 / 770 / 10
1Song Kenan16 / 3417 / 360 / 00
2Rolando Bedoya39 / 8539 / 860 / 10
2Song Kenan24 / 5026 / 520 / 00
3Rolando Bedoya41 / 9641 / 970 / 20
3Song Kenan35 / 6542 / 730 / 00

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11

Rolando Bedoya

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4