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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Song Kenan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1484

Song KenanvsRicky GlennUFC Prediction Result

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Saturday, August 17, 2024Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Song Kenan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsRicky Glenn: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Song Kenan wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Song Kenan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ricky Glenn has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Ricky Glenn is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Song Kenan has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Ricky Glenn (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan

Red Corner

Ricky Glenn

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1497

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song KenanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23

vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23

vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24

latest

Ricky GlennL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 21

KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 23

KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricRicky Glenn

4.49

Strikes / min

3.79

5.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.30

51%

Strike defense

51%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

0.72

73%

Takedown defense

69%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song KenanRicky Glenn

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Kenan(10 fights)Ricky Glenn(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.4|Blue -12.4

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetRicky Glenn

By target zone

44% acc · 75%

Head

23% acc · 38%

95% acc · 22%

Body

73% acc · 28%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

74% acc · 35%

By position

46% acc · 76%

Distance

36% acc · 83%

75% acc · 24%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Kenan rounds

even

Ricky Glenn rounds

Round 1Song Kenan edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:05

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:17Control

Round 2Song Kenan edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Song Kenan edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control0:43

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

87 / 170

Sig Strikes

40 / 99

50.3%

Sig Str %

39.3%

113 / 199

Total Strikes

67 / 127

1 / 5

TDs

2 / 15

50%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

3:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ricky Glenn	9 / 26	30 / 48	2 / 6
1	Song Kenan	22 / 50	37 / 68	0 / 4
2	Ricky Glenn	14 / 32	16 / 34	0 / 6
2	Song Kenan	34 / 63	37 / 66	0 / 0
3	Ricky Glenn	17 / 41	21 / 45	0 / 3
3	Song Kenan	31 / 57	39 / 65	1 / 1

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Ricky Glenn

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4