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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Muslim Salikhov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1497

Elo1507

Song KenanvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:49

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Muslim Salikhov wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Muslim Salikhov at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Muslim Salikhov has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Song Kenan has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan

Red Corner

Muslim Salikhov

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1497

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan

oldest →

KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23

vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23

vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23

vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24

latest

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 23

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricMuslim Salikhov

4.49

Strikes / min

3.37

5.82

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

51%

Strike defense

62%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

1.07

73%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song KenanMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Kenan(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.7|Blue +10.7

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

27% acc · 44%

Head

50% acc · 35%

50% acc · 11%

Body

75% acc · 15%

100% acc · 44%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

40% acc · 89%

Distance

70% acc · 95%

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Kenan rounds

even

Muslim Salikhov rounds

Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:19

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 21

Sig Strikes

20 / 28

42%

Sig Str %

71%

11 / 23

Total Strikes

20 / 28

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Muslim Salikhov	20 / 28	20 / 28	0 / 1	0
1	Song Kenan	9 / 21	11 / 23	0 / 1	0

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14