Welterweight

3 Rounds

Max Griffin won · KO/TKO

Elo1497

Elo1470

Song KenanvsMax GriffinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · Saturday, March 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Max Griffin won

KO/TKO

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Song Kenan wins(53.3%)

Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Kenan at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Max Griffin has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan

Red Corner

Max Griffin

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1497

Elo

1470

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan

oldest →

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23

vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23

vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23

vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24

latest

Max GriffinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Jul 23

vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25

DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricMax Griffin

4.49

Strikes / min

3.70

5.82

Strikes absorbed / min

3.69

51%

Strike defense

58%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

1.44

73%

Takedown defense

69%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song KenanMax Griffin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Kenan(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.4|Blue -26.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +259.0|Blue -259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetMax Griffin

By target zone

50% acc · 36%

Head

65% acc · 65%

63% acc · 36%

Body

29% acc · 12%

67% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

58% acc · 100%

Distance

59% acc · 94%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Kenan rounds

even

Max Griffin rounds

Round 1Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 24

Sig Strikes

17 / 28

58%

Sig Str %

60%

14 / 24

Total Strikes

17 / 28

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Max Griffin	17 / 28	17 / 28	0 / 1	0
1	Song Kenan	14 / 24	14 / 24	0 / 0	0

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Max Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19