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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Jousset won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1491

Song KenanvsKevin JoussetUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Saturday, December 9, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Jousset won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsKevin Jousset: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kevin Jousset wins(81.4%)

Actual result: Kevin Jousset wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Jousset at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Kevin Jousset has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kevin Jousset has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Kevin Jousset has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan

Red Corner

Kevin Jousset

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1497

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan

oldest →

KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23

vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23

vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24

latest

Kevin JoussetL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kiefer Crosbie · Sep 23

KOvs Bryan Battle · Sep 24

vs Jonathan Micallef · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricKevin Jousset

4.49

Strikes / min

6.61

5.82

Strikes absorbed / min

6.49

51%

Strike defense

50%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

0.69

73%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song KenanKevin Jousset

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Kenan(10 fights)Kevin Jousset(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.8|Blue -5.8

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetKevin Jousset

By target zone

34% acc · 69%

Head

46% acc · 58%

80% acc · 13%

Body

75% acc · 11%

61% acc · 18%

Leg

93% acc · 31%

By position

38% acc · 89%

Distance

121

55% acc · 90%

64% acc · 11%

Clinch

81% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Kenan rounds

even

Kevin Jousset rounds

Round 1Kevin Jousset edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Kevin Jousset edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kevin Jousset edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 156

Sig Strikes

134 / 235

39.7%

Sig Str %

57.3%

88 / 188

Total Strikes

158 / 263

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kevin Jousset	45 / 68	46 / 69	0 / 0
1	Song Kenan	21 / 45	21 / 45	0 / 0
2	Kevin Jousset	43 / 85	51 / 94	0 / 1
2	Song Kenan	22 / 60	33 / 73	0 / 0
3	Kevin Jousset	46 / 82	61 / 100	1 / 1
3	Song Kenan	19 / 51	34 / 70	0 / 1

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Kevin Jousset

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4