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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Song Kenan won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1497
Elo1377

Song KenanvsHector AldanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Song Kenan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:45

Model Prediction: Song Kenan wins(72.2%)

Actual result: Song Kenan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Kenan at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Hector Aldana has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Song Kenan has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan
Red Corner
VS
Hector Aldana
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1497
Elo
1377
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan
oldest →
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23
W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23
L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23
W
vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24
latest
Hector AldanaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Laureano Staropoli · Nov 18
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricHector Aldana
4.49
Strikes / min
3.59
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
0.93
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.33evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1500Strikes14.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Song KenanHector Aldana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Song Kenan(10 fights)Hector Aldana(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +119.9|Blue -119.9
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetHector Aldana

By target zone

17
33% acc · 53%
Head
17
29% acc · 44%
3
60% acc · 9%
Body
6
60% acc · 15%
12
86% acc · 38%
Leg
16
76% acc · 41%

By position

27
42% acc · 84%
Distance
38
43% acc · 97%
0
Clinch
0
5
71% acc · 16%
Ground
1
100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Song Kenan rounds
0
even
1
Hector Aldana rounds
Round 1Hector Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Song Kenan edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
32 / 71
Sig Strikes
39 / 90
42.5%
Sig Str %
43%
34 / 76
Total Strikes
41 / 92
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hector Aldana19 / 4621 / 482 / 20
1Song Kenan9 / 299 / 290 / 00
2Hector Aldana20 / 4420 / 440 / 00
2Song Kenan23 / 4225 / 470 / 00

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11

Hector Aldana

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3