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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Song Kenan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1497
Elo1363
Bobby Nash

Song KenanvsBobby NashUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Saturday, November 25, 2017Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Song Kenan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:15

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsBobby Nash: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Bobby Nash wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Song Kenan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Nash at -300 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Bobby Nash has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Bobby Nash has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Nash
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
1497
Elo
1363
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan
oldest →
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23
W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23
L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23
W
vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24
latest
Bobby NashL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Li Jingliang · Jan 17
L
KOvs Danny Roberts · Jul 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricBobby Nash
4.49
Strikes / min
3.42
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
51%
Strike defense
51%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
2.37
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.33evenly matched on net striking-0.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1466Strikes vs 32.0Takedowns vs 1.5Sub Atts vs 1.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Song KenanBobby Nash

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Song Kenan(10 fights)Bobby Nash(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +134.0|Blue -134.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +48.7|Blue -48.7
Grappler Score
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetBobby Nash

By target zone

13
100% acc · 93%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 7%
Body
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Leg
0

By position

2
100% acc · 14%
Distance
1
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
12
100% acc · 86%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Song Kenan rounds
0
even
0
Bobby Nash rounds
Round 1Song Kenan edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
14 / 14
Sig Strikes
1 / 3
100%
Sig Str %
33%
15 / 15
Total Strikes
1 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bobby Nash1 / 31 / 30 / 00
1Song Kenan14 / 1415 / 150 / 00

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11

Bobby Nash

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3