Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alex Morono won · Decision R3

Elo1497

Elo1478

Song KenanvsAlex MoronoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Alex Morono won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSong Kenan: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Song Kenan wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Kenan at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Song Kenan has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Song Kenan

Red Corner

Alex Morono

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1497

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Kenan

oldest →

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23

vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23

vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23

vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24

latest

Alex MoronoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song KenanMetricAlex Morono

4.49

Strikes / min

4.90

5.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

51%

Strike defense

55%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

0.32

73%

Takedown defense

47%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.33Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song KenanAlex Morono

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Kenan(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.2|Blue -19.2

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song KenanTargetAlex Morono

By target zone

33% acc · 59%

Head

42% acc · 76%

50% acc · 21%

Body

67% acc · 14%

67% acc · 20%

Leg

77% acc · 10%

By position

38% acc · 87%

Distance

46% acc · 92%

73% acc · 13%

Clinch

50% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Kenan rounds

even

Alex Morono rounds

Round 1Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:03

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 152

Sig Strikes

98 / 212

39.3%

Sig Str %

46%

62 / 153

Total Strikes

100 / 214

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex Morono	34 / 77	35 / 78	0 / 0
1	Song Kenan	19 / 51	19 / 51	0 / 0
2	Alex Morono	28 / 62	28 / 62	0 / 0
2	Song Kenan	17 / 46	17 / 46	0 / 0
3	Alex Morono	36 / 73	37 / 74	0 / 2
3	Song Kenan	25 / 55	26 / 56	0 / 0

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23