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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Sodiq Yusuff won · U-DEC R3

Elo1486

Elo1374

Sodiq YusuffvsSheymon MoraesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Saturday, March 30, 2019Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Sodiq Yusuff won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSodiq Yusuff: Pressure fightervsSheymon Moraes: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Sheymon Moraes wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Sodiq Yusuff wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sheymon Moraes at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sodiq Yusuff enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sheymon Moraes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Sodiq Yusuff

Red Corner

Sheymon Moraes

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1486

Elo

1374

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sodiq YusuffL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Caceres · Mar 22

SUBvs Don Shainis · Oct 22

vs Edson Barboza · Oct 23

KOvs Diego Lopes · Apr 24

vs Mairon Santos · May 25

latest

Sheymon Moraes

oldest →

SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Nov 17

vs Matt Sayles · Aug 18

vs Julio Arce · Nov 18

KOvs Andre Fili · Jul 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sodiq YusuffMetricSheymon Moraes

5.27

Strikes / min

3.00

4.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.64

53%

Strike defense

63%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.00

62%

Takedown defense

53%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.98Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sodiq YusuffSheymon Moraes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sodiq Yusuff(10 fights)Sheymon Moraes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +111.6|Blue -111.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sodiq YusuffTargetSheymon Moraes

By target zone

36% acc · 44%

Head

30% acc · 39%

71% acc · 34%

Body

65% acc · 48%

64% acc · 22%

Leg

88% acc · 13%

By position

43% acc · 67%

Distance

41% acc · 78%

71% acc · 21%

Clinch

75% acc · 22%

75% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sodiq Yusuff rounds

even

Sheymon Moraes rounds

Round 1Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control1:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 2Sheymon Moraes edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control1:07

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:45Control

Round 3Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:31

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 148

Sig Strikes

54 / 118

49.7%

Sig Str %

46%

99 / 177

Total Strikes

58 / 122

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:38

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sheymon Moraes	16 / 33	19 / 36	0 / 0
1	Sodiq Yusuff	25 / 40	28 / 45	0 / 1
2	Sheymon Moraes	20 / 40	21 / 41	0 / 0
2	Sodiq Yusuff	17 / 40	29 / 53	0 / 2
3	Sheymon Moraes	18 / 45	18 / 45	0 / 0
3	Sodiq Yusuff	31 / 68	42 / 79	0 / 0

Sodiq Yusuff

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Sheymon Moraes

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5