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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Edson Barboza won · U-DEC R5

Elo1486

Elo1480

Sodiq YusuffvsEdson BarbozaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edson Barboza won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupSodiq Yusuff: Pressure fightervsEdson Barboza: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sodiq Yusuff wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sodiq Yusuff at -192 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sodiq Yusuff

Red Corner

Edson Barboza

Blue Corner

-192

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1486

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sodiq YusuffL2 streak

oldest →

vs Arnold Allen · Apr 21

vs Alex Caceres · Mar 22

SUBvs Don Shainis · Oct 22

KOvs Diego Lopes · Apr 24

vs Mairon Santos · May 25

latest

Edson BarbozaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Bryce Mitchell · Mar 22

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sodiq YusuffMetricEdson Barboza

5.27

Strikes / min

4.14

4.29

Strikes absorbed / min

4.68

53%

Strike defense

55%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.43

62%

Takedown defense

73%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.98Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sodiq YusuffEdson Barboza

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sodiq Yusuff(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.2|Blue -6.2

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sodiq YusuffTargetEdson Barboza

By target zone

126

44% acc · 71%

Head

35% acc · 43%

70% acc · 8%

Body

79% acc · 54%

81% acc · 21%

Leg

50% acc · 2%

By position

148

48% acc · 83%

Distance

134

46% acc · 82%

83% acc · 8%

Clinch

93% acc · 15%

68% acc · 8%

Ground

71% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sodiq Yusuff rounds

even

Edson Barboza rounds

Round 1Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns1

Control3:15

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:29

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

1Knockdowns

Round 4Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:12

47Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 5Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

41Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

178 / 351

Sig Strikes

164 / 324

50.6%

Sig Str %

50.2%

206 / 397

Total Strikes

178 / 347

1 / 2

TDs

3 / 4

50%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

3:56

Ctrl Time

3:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Edson Barboza	13 / 25	14 / 26	0 / 0
1	Sodiq Yusuff	42 / 80	55 / 103	1 / 1
2	Edson Barboza	31 / 65	33 / 67	0 / 0
2	Sodiq Yusuff	42 / 79	43 / 80	0 / 0
3	Edson Barboza	32 / 68	42 / 86	0 / 0
3	Sodiq Yusuff	29 / 58	29 / 59	0 / 0
4	Sodiq Yusuff	35 / 79	39 / 84	0 / 1
4	Edson Barboza	47 / 90	48 / 91	0 / 0
5	Edson Barboza	41 / 76	41 / 77	3 / 4
5	Sodiq Yusuff	30 / 55	40 / 71	0 / 0

Sodiq Yusuff

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32