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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Sodiq Yusuff won · U-DEC R3

Elo1486

Elo1500

Sodiq YusuffvsAlex CaceresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sodiq Yusuff won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSodiq Yusuff: Pressure fightervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Sodiq Yusuff wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Sodiq Yusuff wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sodiq Yusuff at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sodiq Yusuff enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Sodiq Yusuff

Red Corner

Alex Caceres

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1486

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sodiq YusuffL3 streak

oldest →

vs Arnold Allen · Apr 21

SUBvs Don Shainis · Oct 22

vs Edson Barboza · Oct 23

KOvs Diego Lopes · Apr 24

vs Mairon Santos · May 25

latest

Alex CaceresL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs SeungWoo Choi · Oct 21

KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22

vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23

vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23

vs Sean Woodson · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sodiq YusuffMetricAlex Caceres

5.27

Strikes / min

4.21

4.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.09

53%

Strike defense

62%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.54

62%

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.98evenly matched on net striking+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sodiq YusuffAlex Caceres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sodiq Yusuff(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.8|Blue +13.8

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sodiq YusuffTargetAlex Caceres

By target zone

26% acc · 28%

Head

40% acc · 65%

75% acc · 19%

Body

70% acc · 21%

92% acc · 53%

Leg

82% acc · 14%

By position

50% acc · 92%

Distance

48% acc · 97%

83% acc · 8%

Clinch

40% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sodiq Yusuff rounds

even

Alex Caceres rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:24

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 2Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:18

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 123

Sig Strikes

66 / 138

48.7%

Sig Str %

49.3%

74 / 133

Total Strikes

71 / 143

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 3

33%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:42

Ctrl Time

0:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex Caceres	13 / 23	18 / 28	1 / 1
1	Sodiq Yusuff	8 / 25	17 / 34	1 / 3
2	Alex Caceres	25 / 53	25 / 53	0 / 0
2	Sodiq Yusuff	29 / 48	29 / 48	0 / 0
3	Alex Caceres	28 / 62	28 / 62	0 / 2
3	Sodiq Yusuff	27 / 50	28 / 51	0 / 0

Sodiq Yusuff

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Alex Caceres

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights29