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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Siyar Bahadurzada won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1377

Elo1364

Siyar BahadurzadavsRob WilkinsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Siyar Bahadurzada won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:10

Style matchupSiyar Bahadurzada: Well-roundedvsRob Wilkinson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Siyar Bahadurzada wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Siyar Bahadurzada wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Siyar Bahadurzada at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Siyar Bahadurzada is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Rob Wilkinson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Siyar Bahadurzada has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Siyar Bahadurzada has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rob Wilkinson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Siyar Bahadurzada

Red Corner

Rob Wilkinson

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1377

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak

oldest →

vs John Howard · Dec 13

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16

KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18

vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19

latest

Rob Wilkinson

oldest →

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Siyar BahadurzadaMetricRob Wilkinson

2.91

Strikes / min

2.74

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

5.66

49%

Strike defense

39%

1.32

TDs / 15 min

4.47

62%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.32Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap-2.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Siyar BahadurzadaRob Wilkinson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)Rob Wilkinson(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.7|Blue -12.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Siyar BahadurzadaTargetRob Wilkinson

By target zone

49% acc · 84%

Head

37% acc · 46%

100% acc · 16%

Body

67% acc · 17%

Leg

90% acc · 38%

By position

42% acc · 42%

Distance

51% acc · 92%

88% acc · 33%

Clinch

67% acc · 8%

50% acc · 26%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Siyar Bahadurzada rounds

even

Rob Wilkinson rounds

Round 1Rob Wilkinson edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:04

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Siyar Bahadurzada edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:24

Knockdowns3

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 81

Sig Strikes

24 / 46

56%

Sig Str %

51%

44 / 82

Total Strikes

34 / 58

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 5

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:28

Ctrl Time

2:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rob Wilkinson	9 / 20	19 / 32	2 / 4	0
1	Siyar Bahadurzada	17 / 26	17 / 26	0 / 0	1
2	Rob Wilkinson	15 / 26	15 / 26	0 / 1	0
2	Siyar Bahadurzada	26 / 55	27 / 56	0 / 0	0

Siyar Bahadurzada

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

Rob Wilkinson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights2