Welterweight

3 Rounds

Simeon Thoresen won · SUB R2

Elo1352

Simeon ThoresenvsBesam YousefUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · Saturday, April 14, 2012Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Simeon Thoresen won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:36

Model Prediction: Simeon Thoresen wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Simeon Thoresen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Simeon Thoresen at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Simeon Thoresen threatens submissions; Besam Yousef has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Simeon Thoresen has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Simeon Thoresen has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Simeon Thoresen

Red Corner

Besam Yousef

Blue Corner

-325

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1352

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

200.66 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Simeon ThoresenL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Seth Baczynski · Sep 12

vs David Mitchell · Jan 13

latest

Besam Yousef

oldest →

vs Papy Abedi · Apr 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Simeon ThoresenMetricBesam Yousef

3.85

Strikes / min

3.14

3.85

Strikes absorbed / min

3.98

64%

Strike defense

38%

1.12

TDs / 15 min

1.33

50%

Takedown defense

50%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.84

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Simeon Thoresen(3 fights)Besam Yousef(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Simeon ThoresenTargetBesam Yousef

By target zone

39% acc · 51%

Head

48% acc · 79%

100% acc · 49%

Body

71% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

31% acc · 32%

Distance

41% acc · 57%

100% acc · 49%

Clinch

83% acc · 36%

70% acc · 19%

Ground

67% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Simeon Thoresen rounds

even

Besam Yousef rounds

Round 1Simeon Thoresen edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control2:31

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Simeon Thoresen edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:58

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 67

Sig Strikes

28 / 54

54%

Sig Str %

51.5%

81 / 117

Total Strikes

98 / 137

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:29

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Besam Yousef	17 / 32	87 / 115	0 / 0	0
1	Simeon Thoresen	24 / 41	56 / 76	1 / 3	0
2	Besam Yousef	11 / 22	11 / 22	0 / 0	0
2	Simeon Thoresen	13 / 26	25 / 41	0 / 1	3

Simeon Thoresen

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights3

Besam Yousef

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2