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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Vanessa Demopoulos won · SUB R1

Elo1495

Elo1487

Silvana Gomez JuarezvsVanessa DemopoulosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Saturday, January 22, 2022Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Vanessa Demopoulos won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:25

Model Prediction: Vanessa Demopoulos wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Vanessa Demopoulos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vanessa Demopoulos at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Silvana Gomez Juarez has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Silvana Gomez Juarez has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Silvana Gomez Juarez

Red Corner

Vanessa Demopoulos

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1495

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'2"

165.1 cm

Reach

149.86 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Silvana Gomez Juarez

oldest →

SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Oct 21

KOvs Liang Na · Jun 22

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 22

latest

Vanessa DemopoulosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23

vs Emily Ducote · May 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24

vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Silvana Gomez JuarezMetricVanessa Demopoulos

4.26

Strikes / min

3.37

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

61%

Strike defense

41%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.32

30%

Takedown defense

26%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.22Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-2.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Silvana Gomez JuarezVanessa Demopoulos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Silvana Gomez Juarez(4 fights)Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.7|Blue -7.7

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Silvana Gomez JuarezTargetVanessa Demopoulos

By target zone

56% acc · 90%

Head

0% acc

Body

50% acc · 50%

50% acc · 10%

Leg

50% acc · 50%

By position

50% acc · 30%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

58% acc · 70%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Silvana Gomez Juarez rounds

even

Vanessa Demopoulos rounds

Round 1Silvana Gomez Juarez edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:11

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 18

Sig Strikes

4 / 12

55%

Sig Str %

33%

10 / 18

Total Strikes

4 / 12

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:11

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Vanessa Demopoulos	4 / 12	4 / 12	0 / 0	2
1	Silvana Gomez Juarez	10 / 18	10 / 18	0 / 0	0

Silvana Gomez Juarez

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Vanessa Demopoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach59.0"

Fights10