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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Sijara Eubanks won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1418

Sijara EubanksvsRoxanne ModafferiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Saturday, November 3, 2018New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Sijara Eubanks won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Roxanne Modafferi wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Sijara Eubanks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roxanne Modafferi at +450 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sijara Eubanks has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sijara Eubanks

Red Corner

Roxanne Modafferi

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1494

Elo

1418

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sijara Eubanks

oldest →

vs Julia Avila · Sep 20

vs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Dec 20

KOvs Elise Reed · Jul 21

KOvs Melissa Gatto · Dec 21

latest

Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20

vs Andrea Lee · Sep 20

vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21

vs Taila Santos · Sep 21

vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sijara EubanksMetricRoxanne Modafferi

4.30

Strikes / min

3.35

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

5.70

57%

Strike defense

51%

1.90

TDs / 15 min

1.35

66%

Takedown defense

30%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.87Δ 3.22 — meaningful gap-2.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sijara EubanksRoxanne Modafferi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sijara Eubanks(10 fights)Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +76.5|Blue -76.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -2.7|Blue +2.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sijara EubanksTargetRoxanne Modafferi

By target zone

28% acc · 77%

Head

23% acc · 96%

64% acc · 16%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

29% acc · 77%

Distance

23% acc · 100%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

50% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sijara Eubanks rounds

even

Roxanne Modafferi rounds

Round 1Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:15

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:25

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:38Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:17

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 175

Sig Strikes

28 / 120

31.7%

Sig Str %

22%

81 / 205

Total Strikes

73 / 174

3 / 4

TDs

1 / 4

66.7%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

5:57

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Roxanne Modafferi	5 / 32	28 / 58	0 / 0
1	Sijara Eubanks	17 / 52	29 / 68	2 / 2
2	Roxanne Modafferi	10 / 46	29 / 71	1 / 2
2	Sijara Eubanks	14 / 50	17 / 53	0 / 1
3	Roxanne Modafferi	13 / 42	16 / 45	0 / 2
3	Sijara Eubanks	26 / 73	35 / 84	1 / 1

Sijara Eubanks

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights10

Roxanne Modafferi

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12