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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Bethe Correia won · U-DEC R3
Elo1494
Sijara Eubanks
Elo1409
Bethe Correia

Sijara EubanksvsBethe CorreiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Saturday, September 21, 2019Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Bethe Correia won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSijara Eubanks: Well-roundedvsBethe Correia: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Sijara Eubanks wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Bethe Correia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sijara Eubanks at -290 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bethe Correia enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Bethe Correia has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sijara Eubanks
Red Corner
VS
Bethe Correia
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1494
Elo
1409
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sijara Eubanks
oldest →
W
vs Julia Avila · Sep 20
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 20
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Dec 20
W
KOvs Elise Reed · Jul 21
L
KOvs Melissa Gatto · Dec 21
latest
Bethe CorreiaL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jessica Eye · Sep 16
L
KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20
L
vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sijara EubanksMetricBethe Correia
4.30
Strikes / min
4.37
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
4.93
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.90
TDs / 15 min
0.39
66%
Takedown defense
85%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1494Strikes4.8 vs 4.5Takedowns2.0 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.0 vs -0.9
Sijara EubanksBethe Correia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Sijara Eubanks(10 fights)Bethe Correia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +85.4|Blue -85.4
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sijara EubanksTargetBethe Correia

By target zone

58
42% acc · 75%
Head
42
42% acc · 71%
12
52% acc · 16%
Body
12
63% acc · 20%
7
88% acc · 9%
Leg
5
71% acc · 8%

By position

55
39% acc · 71%
Distance
54
46% acc · 92%
8
80% acc · 10%
Clinch
5
56% acc · 8%
14
74% acc · 18%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Sijara Eubanks rounds
1
even
1
Bethe Correia rounds
Round 1Sijara Eubanks edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control2:17
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bethe Correia edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:07
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
77 / 169
Sig Strikes
59 / 127
45.3%
Sig Str %
46%
94 / 186
Total Strikes
77 / 146
1 / 5
TDs
0 / 1
33.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:24
Ctrl Time
1:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bethe Correia11 / 2415 / 280 / 00
1Sijara Eubanks31 / 5948 / 761 / 10
2Bethe Correia24 / 4834 / 590 / 10
2Sijara Eubanks21 / 4521 / 450 / 30
3Bethe Correia24 / 5528 / 590 / 00
3Sijara Eubanks25 / 6525 / 650 / 10

Sijara Eubanks

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights10

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights11