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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Shinsho Anzai won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1492

Shinsho AnzaivsLuke JumeauUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Shinsho Anzai won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Luke Jumeau wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Shinsho Anzai wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luke Jumeau at -255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luke Jumeau has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Shinsho Anzai

Red Corner

Luke Jumeau

Blue Corner

+215

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1491

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shinsho Anzai

oldest →

KOvs Alberto Mina · Aug 14

KOvs Roger Zapata · Sep 15

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jun 18

latest

Luke Jumeau

oldest →

vs Dominique Steele · Jun 17

vs Daichi Abe · Feb 18

vs Dhiego Lima · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shinsho AnzaiMetricLuke Jumeau

3.23

Strikes / min

2.93

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

45%

Strike defense

58%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.25

75%

Takedown defense

86%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shinsho AnzaiLuke Jumeau

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shinsho Anzai(4 fights)Luke Jumeau(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +623.0|Blue -623.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shinsho AnzaiTargetLuke Jumeau

By target zone

53% acc · 71%

Head

41% acc · 59%

65% acc · 25%

Body

58% acc · 14%

29% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

39% acc · 43%

Distance

32% acc · 39%

80% acc · 55%

Clinch

83% acc · 61%

25% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shinsho Anzai rounds

even

Luke Jumeau rounds

Round 1Luke Jumeau edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:12

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Shinsho Anzai edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:31

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:55

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:35Control

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 95

Sig Strikes

49 / 95

53.7%

Sig Str %

50.3%

97 / 152

Total Strikes

53 / 99

1 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:38

Ctrl Time

2:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Luke Jumeau	20 / 32	20 / 32	0 / 0
1	Shinsho Anzai	18 / 39	20 / 41	0 / 2
2	Luke Jumeau	9 / 21	10 / 22	0 / 0
2	Shinsho Anzai	12 / 24	48 / 66	1 / 2
3	Luke Jumeau	20 / 42	23 / 45	0 / 0
3	Shinsho Anzai	21 / 32	29 / 45	0 / 8

Shinsho Anzai

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Luke Jumeau

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4