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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Elias Theodorou won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1492

Sheldon WestcottvsElias TheodorouUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Elias Theodorou won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:41

Style matchupSheldon Westcott: WrestlervsElias Theodorou: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Sheldon Westcott wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Elias Theodorou wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sheldon Westcott at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Elias Theodorou has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Elias Theodorou has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sheldon Westcott (53.5%).
Elias Theodorou has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sheldon Westcott

Red Corner

Elias Theodorou

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1490

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sheldon Westcott

oldest →

vs Pawel Pawlak · Apr 15

KOvs Edgar Garcia · Jan 16

latest

Elias Theodorou

oldest →

vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17

vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17

vs Trevor Smith · May 18

vs Eryk Anders · Dec 18

vs Derek Brunson · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sheldon WestcottMetricElias Theodorou

2.26

Strikes / min

4.19

3.73

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

37%

Strike defense

53%

3.23

TDs / 15 min

1.27

14%

Takedown defense

59%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.47Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap+1.80

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sheldon Westcott(3 fights)Elias Theodorou(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sheldon WestcottTargetElias Theodorou

By target zone

39% acc · 69%

Head

70% acc · 78%

43% acc · 23%

Body

67% acc · 14%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

32% acc · 54%

Distance

55% acc · 29%

67% acc · 46%

Clinch

85% acc · 15%

Ground

79% acc · 56%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sheldon Westcott rounds

even

Elias Theodorou rounds

Round 1Elias Theodorou edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:58

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Round 2Elias Theodorou edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:24

41Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:25Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 31

Sig Strikes

73 / 103

39%

Sig Str %

70.5%

18 / 37

Total Strikes

98 / 132

2 / 4

TDs

3 / 3

66.5%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:22

Ctrl Time

4:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elias Theodorou	32 / 44	40 / 53	0 / 0
1	Sheldon Westcott	10 / 18	15 / 24	1 / 3
2	Elias Theodorou	41 / 59	58 / 79	3 / 3
2	Sheldon Westcott	3 / 13	3 / 13	1 / 1

Sheldon Westcott

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3

Elias Theodorou

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11