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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1480

Shayilan NuerdanbiekevsTJ BrownUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Saturday, June 25, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShayilan Nuerdanbieke: WrestlervsTJ Brown: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: TJ Brown wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Shayilan Nuerdanbieke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Brown at -205 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors TJ Brown (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Red Corner

TJ Brown

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-205

(67%)

1497

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Culibao · May 21

vs Sean Soriano · Nov 21

KOvs Darrick Minner · Nov 22

KOvs Steve Garcia · Apr 23

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Jun 24

latest

TJ BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kai Kamaka · May 21

vs Charles Rosa · Jan 22

SUBvs Erik Silva · Dec 22

SUBvs Bill Algeo · Apr 23

SUBvs Darren Elkins · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeMetricTJ Brown

1.95

Strikes / min

3.37

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

2.89

50%

Strike defense

49%

3.30

TDs / 15 min

3.41

28%

Takedown defense

36%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.69Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeTJ Brown

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke(6 fights)TJ Brown(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.9|Blue -16.9

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeTargetTJ Brown

By target zone

56% acc · 87%

Head

35% acc · 71%

100% acc · 2%

Body

90% acc · 21%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

52% acc · 68%

Distance

39% acc · 86%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

81% acc · 28%

Ground

75% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke rounds

even

TJ Brown rounds

Round 1Shayilan Nuerdanbieke edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control2:17

Knockdowns1

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Shayilan Nuerdanbieke edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control2:47

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 3Shayilan Nuerdanbieke edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control2:28

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 79

Sig Strikes

42 / 99

60.7%

Sig Str %

36.3%

86 / 121

Total Strikes

58 / 125

3 / 6

TDs

1 / 2

61%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

7:32

Ctrl Time

2:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	TJ Brown	24 / 49	29 / 55	0 / 1	3
1	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	22 / 42	30 / 50	1 / 2	0
2	TJ Brown	2 / 9	7 / 20	1 / 1	1
2	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	5 / 8	17 / 20	1 / 3	0
3	TJ Brown	16 / 41	22 / 50	0 / 0	0
3	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	20 / 29	39 / 51	1 / 1	0

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

TJ Brown

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8