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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1411

Shayilan NuerdanbiekevsSean SorianoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Shayilan Nuerdanbieke wins(62.2%)

Actual result: Shayilan Nuerdanbieke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke at +230 American odds

+$230 profit

$330 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Soriano enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Sean Soriano has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Red Corner

Sean Soriano

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-290

(74%)

1497

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Culibao · May 21

vs TJ Brown · Jun 22

KOvs Darrick Minner · Nov 22

KOvs Steve Garcia · Apr 23

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Jun 24

latest

Sean SorianoL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jan 14

vs Chas Skelly · Sep 14

SUBvs Charles Rosa · Jan 15

SUBvs Christos Giagos · May 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeMetricSean Soriano

1.95

Strikes / min

3.18

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

2.14

50%

Strike defense

56%

3.30

TDs / 15 min

1.33

28%

Takedown defense

52%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.69Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeSean Soriano

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke(6 fights)Sean Soriano(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +85.9|Blue -85.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeTargetSean Soriano

By target zone

29% acc · 65%

Head

47% acc · 46%

40% acc · 12%

Body

82% acc · 26%

67% acc · 24%

Leg

91% acc · 29%

By position

32% acc · 88%

Distance

61% acc · 86%

Clinch

100% acc · 12%

Ground

71% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke rounds

even

Sean Soriano rounds

Round 1Sean Soriano edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control0:09

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:22Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control2:53

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 3Shayilan Nuerdanbieke edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns3

Control4:23

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 49

Sig Strikes

35 / 56

34.3%

Sig Str %

61%

111 / 190

Total Strikes

49 / 76

4 / 8

TDs

2 / 2

44.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

7:25

Ctrl Time

1:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Soriano	19 / 30	22 / 34	1 / 1
1	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	5 / 21	10 / 27	1 / 3
2	Sean Soriano	12 / 19	15 / 24	1 / 1
2	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	9 / 18	48 / 64	0 / 2
3	Sean Soriano	4 / 7	12 / 18	0 / 0
3	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	3 / 10	53 / 99	3 / 3

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Sean Soriano

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5