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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shawn Jordan won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1490

Elo1353

Shawn JordanvsJack MayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · Saturday, August 16, 2014Bangor, Maine, USA

Official fight result

Shawn Jordan won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:03

Model Prediction: Shawn Jordan wins(59.8%)

Actual result: Shawn Jordan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shawn Jordan at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shawn Jordan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jack May has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Shawn Jordan has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jack May (54.1%).
Jack May has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Shawn Jordan

Red Corner

Jack May

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1490

Elo

1353

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'8"

190.5 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shawn Jordan

oldest →

KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Oct 13

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15

vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15

latest

Jack May

oldest →

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shawn JordanMetricJack May

2.87

Strikes / min

1.52

3.30

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

47%

Strike defense

33%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

0.91

76%

Takedown defense

20%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.43Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap-1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shawn JordanJack May

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shawn Jordan(10 fights)Jack May(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +137.0|Blue -137.0

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shawn JordanTargetJack May

By target zone

58% acc · 88%

Head

28% acc · 65%

67% acc · 13%

Body

63% acc · 25%

Leg

50% acc · 10%

By position

45% acc · 31%

Distance

24% acc · 55%

0% acc

Clinch

64% acc · 45%

73% acc · 69%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shawn Jordan rounds

even

Jack May rounds

Round 1Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:58

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:53

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:26

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 54

Sig Strikes

20 / 59

54%

Sig Str %

33.7%

77 / 112

Total Strikes

22 / 61

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

83.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:17

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jack May	9 / 29	9 / 29	0 / 0
1	Shawn Jordan	14 / 23	19 / 29	1 / 2
2	Jack May	10 / 27	12 / 29	0 / 0
2	Shawn Jordan	3 / 11	20 / 29	1 / 1
3	Jack May	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0
3	Shawn Jordan	15 / 20	38 / 54	1 / 1

Shawn Jordan

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Jack May

StanceSwitch

Height80.0"

Reach—

Fights2