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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shawn Jordan won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1481

Shawn JordanvsDerrick LewisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · Saturday, June 6, 2015New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Shawn Jordan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:48

Model Prediction: Shawn Jordan wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Shawn Jordan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shawn Jordan at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shawn Jordan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Shawn Jordan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shawn Jordan (53.5%).
Derrick Lewis has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Shawn Jordan

Red Corner

Derrick Lewis

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1490

Elo

1481

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shawn Jordan

oldest →

KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Oct 13

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14

KOvs Jack May · Aug 14

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15

vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15

latest

Derrick LewisL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23

KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24

KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25

KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26

KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shawn JordanMetricDerrick Lewis

2.87

Strikes / min

2.46

3.30

Strikes absorbed / min

2.57

47%

Strike defense

39%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

0.55

76%

Takedown defense

52%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shawn JordanDerrick Lewis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shawn Jordan(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.0|Blue -9.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shawn JordanTargetDerrick Lewis

By target zone

65% acc · 96%

Head

25% acc · 83%

33% acc · 4%

Body

33% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 13%

Distance

13% acc · 33%

56% acc · 22%

Clinch

50% acc · 67%

79% acc · 65%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shawn Jordan rounds

even

Derrick Lewis rounds

Round 1Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns3

Control2:53

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 2Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:36

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 37

Sig Strikes

6 / 23

62.5%

Sig Str %

36.5%

65 / 83

Total Strikes

8 / 25

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:29

Ctrl Time

0:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Derrick Lewis	5 / 21	7 / 23	0 / 0
1	Shawn Jordan	13 / 22	31 / 40	3 / 4
2	Derrick Lewis	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0
2	Shawn Jordan	10 / 15	34 / 43	0 / 0

Shawn Jordan

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Derrick Lewis

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights31