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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Sam Hughes won · SUB R2

Elo1478

Elo1509

Shauna BannonvsSam HughesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Sam Hughes won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:58

Style matchupShauna Bannon: Pressure fightervsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sam Hughes wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Sam Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Hughes at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Hughes has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Sam Hughes has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shauna Bannon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Shauna Bannon

Red Corner

Sam Hughes

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-275

(73%)

1478

Elo

1509

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shauna Bannon

oldest →

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 23

vs Alice Ardelean · Jul 24

SUBvs Puja Tomar · Mar 25

SUBvs Nicolle Caliari · May 26

latest

Sam Hughes

oldest →

vs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 23

vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Aug 24

vs Stephanie Luciano · Mar 25

vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shauna BannonMetricSam Hughes

4.32

Strikes / min

4.41

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

4.69

45%

Strike defense

58%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.12

40%

Takedown defense

63%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.57evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shauna BannonSam Hughes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shauna Bannon(5 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.2|Blue +31.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shauna BannonTargetSam Hughes

By target zone

25% acc · 38%

Head

44% acc · 90%

44% acc · 31%

Body

67% acc · 10%

44% acc · 31%

Leg

By position

36% acc · 92%

Distance

19% acc · 19%

33% acc · 8%

Clinch

60% acc · 14%

0% acc

Ground

70% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shauna Bannon rounds

even

Sam Hughes rounds

Round 1Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:09Control

Round 2Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 38

Sig Strikes

21 / 46

34%

Sig Str %

45.5%

42 / 68

Total Strikes

55 / 84

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 3

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

5:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Hughes	13 / 29	45 / 65	1 / 2	0
1	Shauna Bannon	7 / 21	33 / 48	0 / 1	0
2	Sam Hughes	8 / 17	10 / 19	1 / 1	1
2	Shauna Bannon	6 / 17	9 / 20	0 / 0	0

Shauna Bannon

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Sam Hughes

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12