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Strawweight
3 Rounds
Nicolle Caliari won · Submission R3
Elo1478
Shauna Bannon
Elo1504
Nicolle Caliari

Shauna BannonvsNicolle CaliariUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Saturday, May 16, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Nicolle Caliari won

Submission · Round 3 · 3:08

Style matchupShauna Bannon: Pressure fightervsNicolle Caliari: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Shauna Bannon wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Nicolle Caliari wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nicolle Caliari threatens submissions; Shauna Bannon has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Shauna Bannon has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Shauna Bannon
Red Corner
VS
Nicolle Caliari
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1478
Elo
1504
32
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shauna Bannon
oldest →
L
vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 23
W
vs Alice Ardelean · Jul 24
W
SUBvs Puja Tomar · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Sam Hughes · Sep 25
latest
Nicolle CaliariL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Ernesta Kareckaite · Jan 25
L
KOvs Carli Judice · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shauna BannonMetricNicolle Caliari
4.32
Strikes / min
3.46
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
7.01
45%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.88
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57Δ 4.12 — meaningful gap-3.55
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601478149515131530← oldermost recent →
Shauna Bannon(5 fights)Nicolle Caliari(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -26.2|Blue +26.2
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Shauna Bannon

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4

Nicolle Caliari

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights2