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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Bruna Brasil won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1463

Shauna BannonvsBruna BrasilUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Saturday, July 22, 2023London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Bruna Brasil won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShauna Bannon: Pressure fightervsBruna Brasil: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Shauna Bannon wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Bruna Brasil wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shauna Bannon at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bruna Brasil enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bruna Brasil has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shauna Bannon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Shauna Bannon

Red Corner

Bruna Brasil

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1478

Elo

1463

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shauna BannonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alice Ardelean · Jul 24

SUBvs Puja Tomar · Mar 25

SUBvs Sam Hughes · Sep 25

SUBvs Nicolle Caliari · May 26

latest

Bruna BrasilL3 streak

oldest →

vs Loma Lookboonmee · Feb 24

vs Molly McCann · Jul 24

vs Wang Cong · Feb 25

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 26

vs Alexia Thainara · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shauna BannonMetricBruna Brasil

4.32

Strikes / min

2.56

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.75

45%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.23

40%

Takedown defense

57%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.57Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shauna BannonBruna Brasil

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shauna Bannon(5 fights)Bruna Brasil(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.3|Blue -15.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shauna BannonTargetBruna Brasil

By target zone

26% acc · 41%

Head

52% acc · 54%

50% acc · 35%

Body

74% acc · 25%

59% acc · 24%

Leg

92% acc · 21%

By position

37% acc · 94%

Distance

54% acc · 70%

60% acc · 6%

Clinch

92% acc · 21%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shauna Bannon rounds

even

Bruna Brasil rounds

Round 1Bruna Brasil edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:51

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:45Control

Round 3Bruna Brasil edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:14

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 144

Sig Strikes

56 / 90

37.7%

Sig Str %

62%

124 / 223

Total Strikes

73 / 111

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 3

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

1:05

Ctrl Time

3:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bruna Brasil	20 / 34	20 / 34	0 / 0
1	Shauna Bannon	16 / 51	16 / 51	0 / 0
2	Bruna Brasil	16 / 25	28 / 38	1 / 2
2	Shauna Bannon	19 / 42	56 / 86	0 / 2
3	Bruna Brasil	20 / 31	25 / 39	1 / 1
3	Shauna Bannon	19 / 51	52 / 86	0 / 0

Shauna Bannon

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Bruna Brasil

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7