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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Shara Magomedov won · U-DEC R3
Elo1548
Shara Magomedov editorial illustration
Elo1453
Bruno Silva

Shara MagomedovvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Saturday, October 21, 2023Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Shara Magomedov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShara Magomedov: Pressure fightervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Shara Magomedov wins(70.2%)

Actual result: Shara Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Shara Magomedov
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Silva
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1548
Elo
1453
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shara MagomedovW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 24
W
KOvs Armen Petrosyan · Oct 24
L
vs Michael Page · Feb 25
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jul 25
W
DECvs Michel Pereira · Jun 26
latest
Bruno SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25
W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25
L
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shara MagomedovMetricBruno Silva
5.93
Strikes / min
3.86
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
5.35
43%
Strike defense
41%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.77
71%
Takedown defense
74%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.08Δ 3.57 — meaningful gap-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1529Strikes6.9 vs 4.1Takedowns0.0 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Shara MagomedovBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401470150015301560← oldermost recent →
Shara Magomedov(7 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +94.6|Blue -94.6
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shara MagomedovTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

56
61% acc · 50%
Head
51
67% acc · 78%
22
92% acc · 19%
Body
6
86% acc · 9%
35
92% acc · 31%
Leg
8
100% acc · 12%

By position

74
70% acc · 65%
Distance
35
63% acc · 54%
15
71% acc · 13%
Clinch
5
100% acc · 8%
24
89% acc · 21%
Ground
25
83% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Shara Magomedov rounds
1
even
0
Bruno Silva rounds
Round 1Shara Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Shara Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:25Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
113 / 154
Sig Strikes
65 / 91
74.3%
Sig Str %
74%
222 / 274
Total Strikes
107 / 138
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 7
—
TD %
33.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
6:44

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bruno Silva28 / 4228 / 420 / 10
1Shara Magomedov46 / 6646 / 660 / 00
2Bruno Silva26 / 3644 / 561 / 20
2Shara Magomedov43 / 5882 / 1010 / 00
3Bruno Silva11 / 1335 / 402 / 40
3Shara Magomedov24 / 3094 / 1070 / 00

Shara Magomedov

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights23