Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Shanelle Dyer won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1521

Elo1447

Shanelle DyervsRavena OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Saturday, March 21, 2026London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Shanelle Dyer won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:17

Model Prediction: Shanelle Dyer wins(70.8%)

Actual result: Shanelle Dyer wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shanelle Dyer at -450 American odds

+$22 profit

$122 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shanelle Dyer has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Shanelle Dyer

Red Corner

Ravena Oliveira

Blue Corner

-450

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+330

(23%)

1521

Elo

1447

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shanelle DyerNo prior UFC fights on record.

Ravena OliveiraL2 streak

oldest →

vs Tainara Lisboa · Oct 23

SUBvs Stephanie Luciano · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shanelle DyerMetricRavena Oliveira

7.71

Strikes / min

1.91

6.72

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

51%

Strike defense

46%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.88

100%

Takedown defense

46%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.99Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap-1.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shanelle DyerRavena Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shanelle Dyer(1 fights)Ravena Oliveira(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +74.0|Blue -74.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shanelle DyerTargetRavena Oliveira

By target zone

52% acc · 45%

Head

25% acc · 62%

76% acc · 27%

Body

90% acc · 35%

74% acc · 29%

Leg

20% acc · 4%

By position

61% acc · 71%

Distance

31% acc · 92%

73% acc · 16%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

60% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shanelle Dyer rounds

even

Ravena Oliveira rounds

Round 1Shanelle Dyer edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:28

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Shanelle Dyer edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:06

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 78

Sig Strikes

26 / 80

61%

Sig Str %

37.5%

50 / 79

Total Strikes

32 / 86

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ravena Oliveira	20 / 67	26 / 73	0 / 1
1	Shanelle Dyer	32 / 47	33 / 48	0 / 0
2	Ravena Oliveira	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 0
2	Shanelle Dyer	17 / 31	17 / 31	1 / 1

Shanelle Dyer

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights1

Ravena Oliveira

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights3