Featherweight

3 Rounds

Omar Morales won · U-DEC

Elo1473

Elo1453

Shane YoungvsOmar MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, March 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Omar Morales won

U-DEC

Style matchupShane Young: Pressure fightervsOmar Morales: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Shane Young wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Omar Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shane Young at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shane Young enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Shane Young

Red Corner

Omar Morales

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1473

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shane YoungL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rolando Dy · Jun 18

vs Austin Arnett · Feb 19

KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20

vs Blake Bilder · Feb 23

SUBvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 23

latest

Omar MoralesL4 streak

oldest →

vs Gabriel Benitez · May 20

vs Giga Chikadze · Oct 20

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Sep 21

KOvs Uros Medic · May 22

vs Chris Duncan · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane YoungMetricOmar Morales

5.19

Strikes / min

3.42

5.46

Strikes absorbed / min

3.18

52%

Strike defense

58%

0.63

TDs / 15 min

0.46

64%

Takedown defense

63%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shane YoungOmar Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shane Young(7 fights)Omar Morales(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.8|Blue -19.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane YoungTargetOmar Morales

By target zone

26% acc · 37%

Head

40% acc · 70%

73% acc · 41%

Body

70% acc · 10%

71% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

40% acc · 87%

Distance

44% acc · 86%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

90% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shane Young rounds

even

Omar Morales rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:37

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Omar Morales edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:38

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Omar Morales edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:11

34Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 105

Sig Strikes

69 / 144

47.3%

Sig Str %

48%

59 / 120

Total Strikes

74 / 150

1 / 5

TDs

2 / 2

25%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:26

Ctrl Time

1:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Omar Morales	7 / 14	11 / 19	1 / 1
1	Shane Young	8 / 14	8 / 14	0 / 0
2	Omar Morales	28 / 61	28 / 61	0 / 0
2	Shane Young	18 / 37	18 / 37	1 / 2
3	Omar Morales	34 / 69	35 / 70	1 / 1
3	Shane Young	20 / 54	33 / 69	0 / 3

Shane Young

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

Omar Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6