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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Gabriel Miranda won · SUB R1
Elo1473
Elo1482

Shane YoungvsGabriel MirandaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Saturday, September 9, 2023Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Gabriel Miranda won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:59

Style matchupShane Young: Pressure fightervsGabriel Miranda: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Miranda wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Gabriel Miranda wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Shane Young enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Gabriel Miranda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Shane Young is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gabriel Miranda has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Shane Young has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Shane Young has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Shane Young
Red Corner
VS
Gabriel Miranda
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1473
Elo
1482
33
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shane YoungL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Rolando Dy · Jun 18
W
vs Austin Arnett · Feb 19
L
KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20
L
vs Omar Morales · Mar 21
L
vs Blake Bilder · Feb 23
latest
Gabriel MirandaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 22
L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Sep 24
L
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane YoungMetricGabriel Miranda
5.19
Strikes / min
3.23
5.46
Strikes absorbed / min
6.01
52%
Strike defense
37%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
4.75
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap-2.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1469 vs 1482Strikes5.2 vs 3.5Takedowns0.6 vs 4.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 2.40Form-0.9 vs -1.0
Shane YoungGabriel Miranda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Shane Young(7 fights)Gabriel Miranda(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -8.9|Blue +8.9
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Layoff
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane YoungTargetGabriel Miranda

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
0
0% acc
1
50% acc · 100%
Body
1
50% acc · 50%
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 50%

By position

1
25% acc · 100%
Distance
2
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Shane Young rounds
0
even
1
Gabriel Miranda rounds
Round 1Gabriel Miranda edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 4
Sig Strikes
2 / 6
25%
Sig Str %
33%
1 / 4
Total Strikes
2 / 6
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 2
—
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gabriel Miranda2 / 62 / 61 / 21
1Shane Young1 / 41 / 40 / 00

Shane Young

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7

Gabriel Miranda

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4