Featherweight

3 Rounds

Blake Bilder won · U-DEC R3

Elo1473

Elo1495

Shane YoungvsBlake BilderUFC Prediction Result

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Saturday, February 11, 2023Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Blake Bilder won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShane Young: Pressure fightervsBlake Bilder: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Shane Young wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Blake Bilder wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shane Young enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Blake Bilder (52.9%).
Shane Young has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Shane Young

Red Corner

Blake Bilder

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1473

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shane YoungL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rolando Dy · Jun 18

vs Austin Arnett · Feb 19

KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20

vs Omar Morales · Mar 21

SUBvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 23

latest

Blake BilderL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kyle Nelson · Jun 23

vs JeongYeong Lee · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane YoungMetricBlake Bilder

5.19

Strikes / min

3.81

5.46

Strikes absorbed / min

4.15

52%

Strike defense

53%

0.63

TDs / 15 min

0.31

64%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shane YoungBlake Bilder

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shane Young(7 fights)Blake Bilder(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.2|Blue +22.2

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -48.8|Blue +48.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane YoungTargetBlake Bilder

By target zone

28% acc · 53%

Head

46% acc · 56%

75% acc · 26%

Body

65% acc · 10%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

97% acc · 34%

By position

41% acc · 99%

Distance

107

59% acc · 96%

50% acc · 1%

Clinch

60% acc · 3%

Ground

33% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shane Young rounds

even

Blake Bilder rounds

Round 1Blake Bilder edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:43Control

Round 2Blake Bilder edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:03

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Blake Bilder edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 196

Sig Strikes

111 / 190

43.3%

Sig Str %

59.3%

81 / 197

Total Strikes

126 / 206

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 7

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

1:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Blake Bilder	19 / 33	27 / 42	1 / 2
1	Shane Young	16 / 30	16 / 30	0 / 0
2	Blake Bilder	37 / 54	37 / 54	0 / 3
2	Shane Young	27 / 66	28 / 67	0 / 1
3	Blake Bilder	55 / 103	62 / 110	0 / 2
3	Shane Young	37 / 100	37 / 100	0 / 2

Shane Young

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

Blake Bilder

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3