Featherweight

3 Rounds

Shane Collins won · Decision R3

Elo1522

Elo1478

Shane CollinsvsOtari TanziloviUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Saturday, June 20, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Shane Collins won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Otari Tanzilovi wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Shane Collins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Shane Collins

Red Corner

Otari Tanzilovi

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1522

Elo

1478

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

Orthodox

N/A

Height

5'10"

N/A

Reach

177.8 cm

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane CollinsMetricOtari Tanzilovi

—

Strikes / min

4.53

—

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

—

Strike defense

55%

—

TDs / 15 min

4.00

—

Takedown defense

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +44.6|Blue -44.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane CollinsTargetOtari Tanzilovi

By target zone

45% acc · 61%

Head

58% acc · 66%

85% acc · 30%

Body

88% acc · 26%

78% acc · 9%

Leg

83% acc · 9%

By position

53% acc · 87%

Distance

59% acc · 71%

77% acc · 13%

Clinch

89% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shane Collins rounds

even

Otari Tanzilovi rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:42

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Otari Tanzilovi edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:45

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 3Shane Collins edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control1:07

22Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:20Control

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 138

Sig Strikes

58 / 89

54.3%

Sig Str %

67%

111 / 175

Total Strikes

74 / 105

0 / 6

TDs

5 / 9

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:34

Ctrl Time

4:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Otari Tanzilovi	20 / 27	24 / 31	1 / 1	0
1	Shane Collins	23 / 47	33 / 58	0 / 2	1
2	Otari Tanzilovi	16 / 22	23 / 29	2 / 4	0
2	Shane Collins	21 / 38	42 / 60	0 / 2	1
3	Otari Tanzilovi	22 / 40	27 / 45	2 / 4	0
3	Shane Collins	32 / 53	36 / 57	0 / 2	1

Shane Collins

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1

Otari Tanzilovi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1