Lightweight

3 Rounds

Felipe Silva won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1358

Elo1365

Shane CampbellvsFelipe SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · Saturday, August 27, 2016Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Felipe Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:13

Style matchupShane Campbell: Well-roundedvsFelipe Silva: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Shane Campbell wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Felipe Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shane Campbell at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Felipe Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Shane Campbell has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Felipe Silva has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Shane Campbell

Red Corner

Felipe Silva

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1358

Elo

1365

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shane CampbellL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs John Makdessi · Apr 15

vs Elias Silverio · Aug 15

vs James Krause · Feb 16

SUBvs Erik Koch · May 16

latest

Felipe SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mairbek Taisumov · Sep 17

SUBvs Claudio Puelles · May 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane CampbellMetricFelipe Silva

3.99

Strikes / min

5.40

3.19

Strikes absorbed / min

1.80

55%

Strike defense

59%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

1.00

82%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap+3.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shane CampbellFelipe Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shane Campbell(5 fights)Felipe Silva(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.6|Blue +7.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane CampbellTargetFelipe Silva

By target zone

25% acc · 11%

Head

32% acc · 55%

50% acc · 11%

Body

80% acc · 36%

100% acc · 78%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

67% acc · 89%

Distance

46% acc · 55%

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

60% acc · 27%

Ground

29% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shane Campbell rounds

even

Felipe Silva rounds

Round 1Felipe Silva edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 13

Sig Strikes

11 / 25

69%

Sig Str %

44%

10 / 14

Total Strikes

13 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Felipe Silva	11 / 25	13 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Shane Campbell	9 / 13	10 / 14	0 / 0	0

Shane Campbell

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5

Felipe Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3