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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Shane Campbell won · U-DEC R3
Elo1358
Elo1355
Elias Silverio

Shane CampbellvsElias SilverioUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · Sunday, August 23, 2015Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada

Official fight result

Shane Campbell won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShane Campbell: Well-roundedvsElias Silverio: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Elias Silverio wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Shane Campbell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elias Silverio at -250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Shane Campbell enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Shane Campbell
Red Corner
VS
Elias Silverio
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
1358
Elo
1355
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shane CampbellL4 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs John Makdessi · Apr 15
L
vs James Krause · Feb 16
L
SUBvs Erik Koch · May 16
L
KOvs Felipe Silva · Aug 16
latest
Elias Silverio
oldest →
W
vs Joao Zeferino · Sep 13
W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Jan 14
W
SUBvs Ernest Chavez · May 14
L
KOvs Rashid Magomedov · Dec 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shane CampbellMetricElias Silverio
3.99
Strikes / min
3.67
3.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
55%
Strike defense
51%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.62
82%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1534Strikes25.0 vs 62.8Takedowns0.0 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.25Form-1.0 vs 0.1
Shane CampbellElias Silverio

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Shane Campbell(5 fights)Elias Silverio(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red -2.9|Blue +2.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shane CampbellTargetElias Silverio

By target zone

26
55% acc · 59%
Head
9
38% acc · 41%
6
67% acc · 14%
Body
9
75% acc · 41%
12
92% acc · 27%
Leg
4
100% acc · 18%

By position

25
57% acc · 57%
Distance
17
50% acc · 77%
5
63% acc · 11%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 9%
14
82% acc · 32%
Ground
3
75% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Shane Campbell rounds
0
even
1
Elias Silverio rounds
Round 1Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:22
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:54Control
Round 2Shane Campbell edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:08
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Shane Campbell edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control1:01
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
44 / 69
Sig Strikes
22 / 40
60.7%
Sig Str %
57.7%
73 / 103
Total Strikes
50 / 84
2 / 5
TDs
2 / 14
22%
TD %
13.7%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
4:31
Ctrl Time
6:57

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Elias Silverio7 / 926 / 391 / 60
1Shane Campbell5 / 1011 / 160 / 10
2Elias Silverio8 / 1614 / 260 / 40
2Shane Campbell17 / 2428 / 352 / 30
3Elias Silverio7 / 1510 / 191 / 40
3Shane Campbell22 / 3534 / 520 / 10

Shane Campbell

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5

Elias Silverio

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5