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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shamil Gamzatov won · S-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1385

Shamil GamzatovvsKlidson AbreuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Shamil Gamzatov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Klidson Abreu wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Shamil Gamzatov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Klidson Abreu at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Klidson Abreu has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Shamil Gamzatov

Red Corner

Klidson Abreu

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1494

Elo

1385

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shamil Gamzatov

oldest →

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Oct 21

latest

Klidson Abreu

oldest →

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Feb 19

vs Sam Alvey · Jul 19

KOvs Jamahal Hill · May 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shamil GamzatovMetricKlidson Abreu

5.35

Strikes / min

2.05

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

51%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.64

50%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.89Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shamil GamzatovKlidson Abreu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shamil Gamzatov(2 fights)Klidson Abreu(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +109.2|Blue -109.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shamil GamzatovTargetKlidson Abreu

By target zone

17% acc · 16%

Head

23% acc · 34%

68% acc · 36%

Body

47% acc · 22%

69% acc · 48%

Leg

93% acc · 44%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

41% acc · 97%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shamil Gamzatov rounds

even

Klidson Abreu rounds

Round 1Shamil Gamzatov edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 3Shamil Gamzatov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:11

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 138

Sig Strikes

32 / 78

45.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

82 / 158

Total Strikes

47 / 95

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

1:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Klidson Abreu	10 / 27	10 / 27	0 / 0
1	Shamil Gamzatov	30 / 60	30 / 60	0 / 0
2	Klidson Abreu	15 / 27	22 / 36	1 / 1
2	Shamil Gamzatov	20 / 46	21 / 47	0 / 0
3	Klidson Abreu	7 / 24	15 / 32	0 / 1
3	Shamil Gamzatov	14 / 32	31 / 51	0 / 1

Shamil Gamzatov

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights2

Klidson Abreu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4