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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shamil Abdurakhimov won · S-DEC R3

Elo1447

Elo1402

Shamil AbdurakhimovvsWalt HarrisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Saturday, October 1, 2016Portland, Oregon, USA

Official fight result

Shamil Abdurakhimov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shamil Abdurakhimov at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Shamil Abdurakhimov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Walt Harris has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Shamil Abdurakhimov

Red Corner

Walt Harris

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1447

Elo

1402

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'5"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23

latest

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shamil AbdurakhimovMetricWalt Harris

2.41

Strikes / min

3.05

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

55%

Strike defense

54%

1.01

TDs / 15 min

0.29

45%

Takedown defense

70%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shamil AbdurakhimovWalt Harris

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.1|Blue -45.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +62.0|Blue -62.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shamil AbdurakhimovTargetWalt Harris

By target zone

23% acc · 45%

Head

27% acc · 64%

60% acc · 13%

Body

58% acc · 21%

74% acc · 43%

Leg

71% acc · 15%

By position

36% acc · 83%

Distance

29% acc · 73%

44% acc · 15%

Clinch

60% acc · 27%

25% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds

even

Walt Harris rounds

Round 1Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:34

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 3Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:09

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 128

Sig Strikes

33 / 98

36%

Sig Str %

32.3%

52 / 135

Total Strikes

36 / 101

1 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:43

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Walt Harris	12 / 32	15 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Shamil Abdurakhimov	13 / 37	17 / 41	1 / 7	0
2	Walt Harris	6 / 23	6 / 23	0 / 0	1
2	Shamil Abdurakhimov	14 / 38	14 / 39	0 / 0	0
3	Walt Harris	15 / 43	15 / 43	0 / 0	0
3	Shamil Abdurakhimov	20 / 53	21 / 55	0 / 1	0

Shamil Abdurakhimov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights11

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15