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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tim Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1447
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Elo1491

Shamil AbdurakhimovvsTim JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · Saturday, April 4, 2015Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Tim Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:57

Model Prediction: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Tim Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shamil Abdurakhimov at -260 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tim Johnson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Shamil Abdurakhimov
Red Corner
VS
Tim Johnson
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1447
Elo
1491
44
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19
L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19
L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22
L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23
latest
Tim Johnson
oldest →
W
DECvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 16
L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · Nov 16
W
DECvs Daniel Omielanczuk · Mar 17
L
KOvs Junior Albini · Jul 17
W
DECvs Marcelo Golm · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shamil AbdurakhimovMetricTim Johnson
2.41
Strikes / min
—
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
1.01
TDs / 15 min
—
45%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)Tim Johnson(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -44.2|Blue +44.2
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Shamil Abdurakhimov

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11

Tim Johnson

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4