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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Vallejos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1487

Elo1575

SeungWoo ChoivsKevin VallejosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Vallejos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:09

Style matchupSeungWoo Choi: Well-roundedvsKevin Vallejos: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Kevin Vallejos wins(77.0%)

Actual result: Kevin Vallejos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Vallejos at -510 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kevin Vallejos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kevin Vallejos is a KO finisher (75% of wins). SeungWoo Choi has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Kevin Vallejos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Kevin Vallejos (52.9%).
SeungWoo Choi has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

SeungWoo Choi

Red Corner

Kevin Vallejos

Blue Corner

+390

(20%)

Vegas Odds

-510

(84%)

1487

Elo

1575

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

SeungWoo Choi

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Oct 21

vs Josh Culibao · Jun 22

KOvs Michael Trizano · Nov 22

vs Jarno Errens · Aug 23

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jul 24

latest

Kevin VallejosW3 streak

oldest →

vs Danny Silva · Aug 25

KOvs Giga Chikadze · Dec 25

KOvs Josh Emmett · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SeungWoo ChoiMetricKevin Vallejos

3.56

Strikes / min

6.12

3.16

Strikes absorbed / min

4.41

47%

Strike defense

57%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.66

70%

Takedown defense

84%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SeungWoo ChoiKevin Vallejos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

SeungWoo Choi(10 fights)Kevin Vallejos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -87.7|Blue +87.7

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SeungWoo ChoiTargetKevin Vallejos

By target zone

20% acc · 25%

Head

33% acc · 29%

13% acc · 6%

Body

50% acc · 21%

69% acc · 69%

Leg

78% acc · 50%

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 93%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

SeungWoo Choi rounds

even

Kevin Vallejos rounds

Round 1Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 44

Sig Strikes

14 / 27

36%

Sig Str %

51%

16 / 44

Total Strikes

26 / 39

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kevin Vallejos	14 / 27	26 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	SeungWoo Choi	16 / 44	16 / 44	0 / 0	0

SeungWoo Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8

Kevin Vallejos

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4