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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

HyunSung Park won · SUB R3

Elo1495

Elo1491

SeungGuk ChoivsHyunSung ParkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Saturday, February 4, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

HyunSung Park won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:11

Style matchupSeungGuk Choi: Well-roundedvsHyunSung Park: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: HyunSung Park wins(78.1%)

Actual result: HyunSung Park wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

HyunSung Park at -215 American odds

+$47 profit

$147 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

SeungGuk Choi has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
SeungGuk Choi has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

SeungGuk Choi

Red Corner

HyunSung Park

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1495

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

SeungGuk ChoiNo prior UFC fights on record.

HyunSung ParkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shannon Ross · Dec 23

SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · May 25

SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Aug 25

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SeungGuk ChoiMetricHyunSung Park

2.69

Strikes / min

3.38

2.69

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

65%

Strike defense

55%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

1.50

74%

Takedown defense

47%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

0.00evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SeungGuk ChoiHyunSung Park

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

SeungGuk Choi(1 fights)HyunSung Park(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.9|Blue -3.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SeungGuk ChoiTargetHyunSung Park

By target zone

22% acc · 60%

Head

33% acc · 53%

60% acc · 15%

Body

33% acc · 3%

50% acc · 25%

Leg

63% acc · 45%

By position

30% acc · 100%

Distance

42% acc · 97%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

SeungGuk Choi rounds

even

HyunSung Park rounds

Round 1HyunSung Park edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:59

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:08

Knockdowns1

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3HyunSung Park edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:31

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 69

Sig Strikes

38 / 91

27%

Sig Str %

38.3%

30 / 83

Total Strikes

59 / 125

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

2:38

Ctrl Time

1:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	HyunSung Park	10 / 29	21 / 47	0 / 0	0
1	SeungGuk Choi	5 / 22	12 / 32	0 / 0	0
2	HyunSung Park	23 / 46	31 / 56	0 / 0	0
2	SeungGuk Choi	12 / 35	12 / 36	0 / 0	0
3	HyunSung Park	5 / 16	7 / 22	1 / 3	3
3	SeungGuk Choi	3 / 12	6 / 15	0 / 2	0

SeungGuk Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights1

HyunSung Park

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5