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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ramon Taveras won · S-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1483

Serhiy SideyvsRamon TaverasUFC Prediction Result

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Saturday, January 20, 2024Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Ramon Taveras won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSerhiy Sidey: Submission grapplervsRamon Taveras: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Serhiy Sidey wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Ramon Taveras wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Serhiy Sidey at -198 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ramon Taveras has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Serhiy Sidey (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Serhiy Sidey

Red Corner

Ramon Taveras

Blue Corner

-198

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1515

Elo

1483

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Serhiy SideyW2 streak

oldest →

vs Garrett Armfield · Nov 24

vs Cameron Smotherman · May 25

latest

Ramon TaverasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Davey Grant · Dec 24

vs Jack Jenkins · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Serhiy SideyMetricRamon Taveras

4.49

Strikes / min

4.07

4.26

Strikes absorbed / min

6.45

54%

Strike defense

54%

1.58

TDs / 15 min

0.00

20%

Takedown defense

72%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23Δ 2.61 — meaningful gap-2.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Serhiy SideyRamon Taveras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Serhiy Sidey(3 fights)Ramon Taveras(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.6|Blue -32.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Serhiy SideyTargetRamon Taveras

By target zone

28% acc · 65%

Head

37% acc · 77%

56% acc · 25%

Body

80% acc · 13%

89% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

33% acc · 92%

Distance

42% acc · 97%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Serhiy Sidey rounds

even

Ramon Taveras rounds

Round 1Ramon Taveras edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:06

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Serhiy Sidey edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:18

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Serhiy Sidey edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 226

Sig Strikes

62 / 147

34.3%

Sig Str %

41.7%

81 / 229

Total Strikes

62 / 148

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ramon Taveras	22 / 45	22 / 46	0 / 0
1	Serhiy Sidey	17 / 51	17 / 52	0 / 1
2	Ramon Taveras	24 / 58	24 / 58	0 / 0
2	Serhiy Sidey	39 / 108	41 / 110	0 / 3
3	Ramon Taveras	16 / 44	16 / 44	0 / 0
3	Serhiy Sidey	23 / 67	23 / 67	0 / 0

Serhiy Sidey

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3

Ramon Taveras

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3