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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Serhiy Sidey won · S-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1493

Serhiy SideyvsGarrett ArmfieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Serhiy Sidey won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSerhiy Sidey: Submission grapplervsGarrett Armfield: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Serhiy Sidey wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Serhiy Sidey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Garrett Armfield has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Serhiy Sidey (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Serhiy Sidey

Red Corner

Garrett Armfield

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1515

Elo

1493

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'6"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Serhiy Sidey

oldest →

vs Ramon Taveras · Jan 24

vs Cameron Smotherman · May 25

latest

Garrett Armfield

oldest →

SUBvs David Onama · Jul 22

KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 23

vs Brad Katona · Jan 24

SUBvs Brady Hiestand · Jun 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Serhiy SideyMetricGarrett Armfield

4.49

Strikes / min

5.35

4.26

Strikes absorbed / min

3.64

54%

Strike defense

56%

1.58

TDs / 15 min

1.10

20%

Takedown defense

64%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Serhiy SideyGarrett Armfield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Serhiy Sidey(3 fights)Garrett Armfield(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.2|Blue -22.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Serhiy SideyTargetGarrett Armfield

By target zone

38% acc · 59%

Head

45% acc · 80%

71% acc · 32%

Body

90% acc · 13%

86% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

46% acc · 88%

Distance

49% acc · 92%

58% acc · 10%

Clinch

57% acc · 6%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Serhiy Sidey rounds

even

Garrett Armfield rounds

Round 1Garrett Armfield edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:35

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 2Garrett Armfield edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:00

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Garrett Armfield edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:12

4Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:54Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 144

Sig Strikes

71 / 142

48.3%

Sig Str %

48.7%

75 / 151

Total Strikes

77 / 148

0 / 4

TDs

4 / 5

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:47

Ctrl Time

4:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Garrett Armfield	24 / 40	24 / 40	1 / 2	0
1	Serhiy Sidey	20 / 41	23 / 44	0 / 2	1
2	Garrett Armfield	43 / 92	44 / 93	0 / 0	0
2	Serhiy Sidey	39 / 86	40 / 87	0 / 2	0
3	Garrett Armfield	4 / 10	9 / 15	3 / 3	1
3	Serhiy Sidey	9 / 17	12 / 20	0 / 0	2

Serhiy Sidey

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3

Garrett Armfield

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5