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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Ryan Benoit won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1492

Elo1405

Sergio PettisvsRyan BenoitUFC Prediction Result

UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · Saturday, March 14, 2015Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ryan Benoit won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:34

Style matchupSergio Pettis: Elusive strikervsRyan Benoit: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Ryan Benoit wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergio Pettis at -660 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Sergio Pettis

Red Corner

Ryan Benoit

Blue Corner

-660

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+540

(16%)

1492

Elo

1405

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sergio Pettis

oldest →

vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17

vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18

vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18

vs Rob Font · Dec 18

vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19

latest

Ryan BenoitL3 streak

oldest →

vs Brandon Moreno · Dec 16

KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17

vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19

vs Tim Elliott · Jul 20

vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sergio PettisMetricRyan Benoit

3.88

Strikes / min

2.88

2.91

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

65%

Strike defense

58%

0.85

TDs / 15 min

0.28

67%

Takedown defense

72%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sergio PettisRyan Benoit

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Ryan Benoit(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +87.0|Blue -87.0

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red +3.3|Blue -3.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -371.0|Blue +371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sergio PettisTargetRyan Benoit

By target zone

36% acc · 85%

Head

29% acc · 89%

83% acc · 13%

Body

75% acc · 11%

33% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

38% acc · 90%

Distance

25% acc · 64%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

57% acc · 10%

Ground

56% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sergio Pettis rounds

even

Ryan Benoit rounds

Round 1Sergio Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control1:38

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Ryan Benoit edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 100

Sig Strikes

28 / 90

39%

Sig Str %

30%

51 / 113

Total Strikes

29 / 91

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:38

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ryan Benoit	9 / 42	10 / 43	1 / 1
1	Sergio Pettis	27 / 70	39 / 83	1 / 1
2	Ryan Benoit	19 / 48	19 / 48	0 / 0
2	Sergio Pettis	12 / 30	12 / 30	0 / 2

Sergio Pettis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Ryan Benoit

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights9