Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Seokhyeon Ko won · U-DEC R3
Elo1505
Seokhyeon Ko editorial illustration
Elo1491
Oban Elliott editorial illustration

Seokhyeon KovsOban ElliottUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Saturday, June 21, 2025Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Seokhyeon Ko won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSeokhyeon Ko: WrestlervsOban Elliott: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Oban Elliott wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Seokhyeon Ko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oban Elliott at -480 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Seokhyeon Ko has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Seokhyeon Ko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Seokhyeon Ko
Red Corner
VS
Oban Elliott
Blue Corner
+370
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-480
(83%)
1505
Elo
1491
32
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Seokhyeon Ko
oldest →
W
vs Phil Rowe · Nov 25
L
DECvs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Jul 26
latest
Oban Elliott
oldest →
W
vs Val Woodburn · Feb 24
W
vs Preston Parsons · Jul 24
W
KOvs Bassil Hafez · Nov 24
L
SUBvs Jonathan Micallef · Jan 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Seokhyeon KoMetricOban Elliott
2.73
Strikes / min
3.62
1.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.24
58%
Strike defense
61%
4.00
TDs / 15 min
1.52
75%
Takedown defense
52%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31evenly matched on net striking+1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1552Strikes2.7 vs 3.6Takedowns4.0 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 1.0
Seokhyeon KoOban Elliott

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Seokhyeon Ko(3 fights)Oban Elliott(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +13.5|Blue -13.5
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Seokhyeon KoTargetOban Elliott

By target zone

25
49% acc · 76%
Head
2
10% acc · 20%
5
83% acc · 15%
Body
6
75% acc · 60%
3
75% acc · 9%
Leg
2
67% acc · 20%

By position

14
44% acc · 42%
Distance
9
30% acc · 90%
3
50% acc · 9%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 10%
16
70% acc · 48%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Seokhyeon Ko rounds
0
even
0
Oban Elliott rounds
Round 1Seokhyeon Ko edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control1:36
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:41Control
Round 2Seokhyeon Ko edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control4:15
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Seokhyeon Ko edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control4:24
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
33 / 61
Sig Strikes
10 / 31
55.3%
Sig Str %
32%
80 / 127
Total Strikes
19 / 40
6 / 9
TDs
0 / 2
80%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
10:15
Ctrl Time
1:44

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Oban Elliott4 / 115 / 120 / 10
1Seokhyeon Ko8 / 2019 / 362 / 50
2Oban Elliott3 / 107 / 140 / 10
2Seokhyeon Ko15 / 2726 / 452 / 21
3Oban Elliott3 / 107 / 140 / 00
3Seokhyeon Ko10 / 1435 / 462 / 20

Seokhyeon Ko

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3

Oban Elliott

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5