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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Sedriques Dumas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1467

Elo1482

Sedriques DumasvsDenis TiuliulinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Saturday, August 3, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Sedriques Dumas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sedriques Dumas wins(64.8%)

Actual result: Sedriques Dumas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sedriques Dumas at -238 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sedriques Dumas has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Denis Tiuliulin has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sedriques Dumas

Red Corner

Denis Tiuliulin

Blue Corner

-238

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1467

Elo

1482

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sedriques DumasL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25

vs Zach Reese · Sep 25

SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25

SUBvs Jackson McVey · Apr 26

latest

Denis TiuliulinL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Aliaskhab Khizriev · Mar 22

KOvs Jamie Pickett · Sep 22

SUBvs JunYong Park · Feb 23

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Aug 23

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sedriques DumasMetricDenis Tiuliulin

1.97

Strikes / min

3.61

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

5.23

53%

Strike defense

38%

1.30

TDs / 15 min

0.96

33%

Takedown defense

72%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.67evenly matched on net striking-1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sedriques DumasDenis Tiuliulin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sedriques Dumas(8 fights)Denis Tiuliulin(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.3|Blue +14.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sedriques DumasTargetDenis Tiuliulin

By target zone

42% acc · 57%

Head

20% acc · 38%

90% acc · 18%

Body

72% acc · 50%

100% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

51% acc · 82%

Distance

36% acc · 92%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

100% acc · 16%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sedriques Dumas rounds

even

Denis Tiuliulin rounds

Round 1Sedriques Dumas edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control3:22

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Sedriques Dumas edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:38

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Denis Tiuliulin edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 88

Sig Strikes

26 / 70

56.3%

Sig Str %

38.7%

95 / 140

Total Strikes

183 / 246

3 / 10

TDs

3 / 5

27.7%

TD %

58%

Sub Att

Rev

6:00

Ctrl Time

2:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Denis Tiuliulin	3 / 7	44 / 53	1 / 2
1	Sedriques Dumas	6 / 10	35 / 41	2 / 4
2	Denis Tiuliulin	10 / 24	116 / 136	0 / 0
2	Sedriques Dumas	26 / 40	39 / 57	1 / 3
3	Denis Tiuliulin	13 / 39	23 / 57	2 / 3
3	Sedriques Dumas	17 / 38	21 / 42	0 / 3

Sedriques Dumas

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights9

Denis Tiuliulin

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights6