Featherweight

3 Rounds

Sean Woodson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1517

Elo1526

Sean WoodsonvsYoussef ZalalUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Woodson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSean Woodson: Pressure fightervsYoussef Zalal: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Youssef Zalal wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Sean Woodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Youssef Zalal at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Youssef Zalal threatens submissions; Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Sean Woodson has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Sean Woodson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Woodson

Red Corner

Youssef Zalal

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1517

Elo

1526

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'2"

Height

5'10"

198.12 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean Woodson

oldest →

vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23

vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24

vs Alex Caceres · May 24

KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24

KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25

latest

Youssef Zalal

oldest →

SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24

SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24

vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25

SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25

DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean WoodsonMetricYoussef Zalal

5.57

Strikes / min

2.78

4.18

Strikes absorbed / min

1.79

58%

Strike defense

64%

0.58

TDs / 15 min

1.84

84%

Takedown defense

55%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean WoodsonYoussef Zalal

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Woodson(9 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.2|Blue +9.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean WoodsonTargetYoussef Zalal

By target zone

26% acc · 57%

Head

29% acc · 43%

50% acc · 15%

Body

82% acc · 21%

69% acc · 28%

Leg

94% acc · 36%

By position

31% acc · 83%

Distance

47% acc · 95%

78% acc · 18%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Woodson rounds

even

Youssef Zalal rounds

Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:14

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:46Control

Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:10

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:46Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:39

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:49Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 116

Sig Strikes

42 / 89

34.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

104 / 204

Total Strikes

55 / 112

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 17

—

TD %

16.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:03

Ctrl Time

6:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Youssef Zalal	17 / 31	20 / 37	1 / 6	0
1	Sean Woodson	11 / 38	28 / 62	0 / 0	0
2	Youssef Zalal	15 / 34	19 / 42	1 / 3	0
2	Sean Woodson	15 / 46	24 / 61	0 / 0	1
3	Youssef Zalal	10 / 24	16 / 33	0 / 8	0
3	Sean Woodson	14 / 32	52 / 81	0 / 0	1

Sean Woodson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights9

Youssef Zalal

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11