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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · U-DEC R5

Elo1530

Elo1541

Sean StricklandvsNassourdine ImavovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Saturday, January 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsNassourdine Imavov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Strickland

Red Corner

Nassourdine Imavov

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1530

Elo

1541

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Nassourdine ImavovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean StricklandMetricNassourdine Imavov

5.98

Strikes / min

4.28

4.53

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

60%

Strike defense

58%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

0.74

68%

Takedown defense

81%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.45evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean StricklandNassourdine Imavov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Strickland(10 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.5|Blue +10.5

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -105.0|Blue +105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean StricklandTargetNassourdine Imavov

By target zone

134

39% acc · 74%

Head

32% acc · 54%

79% acc · 21%

Body

89% acc · 33%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

94% acc · 12%

By position

175

44% acc · 96%

Distance

104

42% acc · 85%

78% acc · 4%

Clinch

90% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Strickland rounds

even

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

Round 1Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:14

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control1:49

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns0

Control0:50

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 5Even round

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control1:19

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

182 / 405

Sig Strikes

123 / 269

43.6%

Sig Str %

45.2%

194 / 420

Total Strikes

131 / 277

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:12

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Strickland	24 / 74	24 / 74	0 / 0
1	Nassourdine Imavov	19 / 50	19 / 50	0 / 0
2	Sean Strickland	22 / 72	27 / 78	1 / 1
2	Nassourdine Imavov	22 / 58	27 / 63	0 / 0
3	Nassourdine Imavov	24 / 45	24 / 45	0 / 1
3	Sean Strickland	47 / 78	48 / 79	0 / 0
4	Nassourdine Imavov	23 / 51	23 / 51	0 / 0
4	Sean Strickland	57 / 100	60 / 103	0 / 0
5	Sean Strickland	32 / 81	35 / 86	0 / 0
5	Nassourdine Imavov	35 / 65	38 / 68	0 / 0

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11