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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · U-DEC

Elo1530

Elo1496

Sean StricklandvsKrzysztof JotkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · Saturday, May 1, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

U-DEC

Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsKrzysztof Jotko: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Strickland at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Sean Strickland

Red Corner

Krzysztof Jotko

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1530

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Krzysztof Jotko

oldest →

vs Alen Amedovski · Apr 19

vs Eryk Anders · May 20

vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21

vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean StricklandMetricKrzysztof Jotko

5.98

Strikes / min

2.98

4.53

Strikes absorbed / min

2.23

60%

Strike defense

57%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

1.33

68%

Takedown defense

82%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.45evenly matched on net striking+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean StricklandKrzysztof Jotko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Strickland(10 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +34.2|Blue -34.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean StricklandTargetKrzysztof Jotko

By target zone

35% acc · 55%

Head

10% acc · 46%

75% acc · 29%

Body

52% acc · 38%

70% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

19% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Strickland rounds

even

Krzysztof Jotko rounds

Round 1Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 182

Sig Strikes

37 / 196

46%

Sig Str %

18.3%

84 / 182

Total Strikes

37 / 196

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Krzysztof Jotko	14 / 65	14 / 65	0 / 1
1	Sean Strickland	26 / 54	26 / 54	0 / 0
2	Krzysztof Jotko	11 / 66	11 / 66	0 / 0
2	Sean Strickland	23 / 50	23 / 50	0 / 0
3	Krzysztof Jotko	12 / 65	12 / 65	0 / 0
3	Sean Strickland	35 / 78	35 / 78	0 / 0

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25

Krzysztof Jotko

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16