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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · U-DEC

Elo1530

Elo1391

Sean StricklandvsJack MarshmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Saturday, October 31, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(76.6%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Strickland at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Strickland has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Strickland

Red Corner

Jack Marshman

Blue Corner

-375

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+277

(27%)

1530

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Jack Marshman

oldest →

vs Ryan Janes · Jul 17

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Oct 17

vs Karl Roberson · Nov 18

vs John Phillips · Mar 19

SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jul 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean StricklandMetricJack Marshman

5.98

Strikes / min

2.74

4.53

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

60%

Strike defense

56%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

20%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.45Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean StricklandJack Marshman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Strickland(10 fights)Jack Marshman(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.4|Blue -139.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean StricklandTargetJack Marshman

By target zone

43% acc · 83%

Head

11% acc · 40%

71% acc · 14%

Body

31% acc · 38%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

65% acc · 23%

By position

106

47% acc · 100%

Distance

19% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Strickland rounds

even

Jack Marshman rounds

Round 1Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

106 / 227

Sig Strikes

48 / 252

46.3%

Sig Str %

18.3%

106 / 227

Total Strikes

48 / 252

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jack Marshman	20 / 81	20 / 81	0 / 0
1	Sean Strickland	39 / 84	39 / 84	0 / 0
2	Jack Marshman	10 / 69	10 / 69	0 / 0
2	Sean Strickland	27 / 60	27 / 60	0 / 0
3	Jack Marshman	18 / 102	18 / 102	0 / 0
3	Sean Strickland	40 / 83	40 / 83	0 / 0

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25

Jack Marshman

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8