← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sean Pierson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Sean PiersonvsLance BenoistUFC Prediction Result

UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · Saturday, September 22, 2012Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Sean Pierson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSean Pierson: Well-roundedvsLance Benoist: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Sean Pierson wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Sean Pierson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Pierson at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Pierson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Pierson

Red Corner

Lance Benoist

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean PiersonW2 streak

oldest →

vs Matthew Riddle · Dec 10

KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Apr 11

vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 11

vs Jake Hecht · Jun 12

vs Kenny Robertson · Jun 13

latest

Lance Benoist

oldest →

vs Matthew Riddle · Sep 11

vs Seth Baczynski · Jun 12

vs Bobby Voelker · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean PiersonMetricLance Benoist

3.84

Strikes / min

3.68

3.73

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

64%

Strike defense

56%

0.39

TDs / 15 min

1.50

66%

Takedown defense

61%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.11evenly matched on net striking+0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean PiersonLance Benoist

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Pierson(6 fights)Lance Benoist(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean PiersonTargetLance Benoist

By target zone

39% acc · 69%

Head

36% acc · 62%

89% acc · 23%

Body

80% acc · 22%

75% acc · 8%

Leg

75% acc · 16%

By position

44% acc · 88%

Distance

41% acc · 80%

86% acc · 8%

Clinch

88% acc · 8%

60% acc · 4%

Ground

79% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Pierson rounds

even

Lance Benoist rounds

Round 1Sean Pierson edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control2:03

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Pierson edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:46

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Lance Benoist edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns0

47Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 159

Sig Strikes

91 / 200

46%

Sig Str %

43.7%

112 / 202

Total Strikes

109 / 218

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:52

Ctrl Time

0:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lance Benoist	25 / 59	31 / 65	0 / 0
1	Sean Pierson	23 / 50	53 / 85	0 / 0
2	Lance Benoist	19 / 51	20 / 52	0 / 1
2	Sean Pierson	21 / 51	27 / 57	0 / 3
3	Lance Benoist	47 / 90	58 / 101	0 / 0
3	Sean Pierson	30 / 58	32 / 60	0 / 0

Sean Pierson

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Lance Benoist

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4